巴黎银行-哥伦比亚-宏观形势-哥伦比亚：选举追踪-20180205-59页

COLOMBIA:ELECTIONTRACKERFEBRUARY2018EMERGINGMARKETSRESEARCH,LATAMMARCELOCARVALHO@MCarvalhoEconhttp://www.hibor.com.cn/“PRO-PEACE”ALLIANCEFORMED;LEFTDIVIDESBUTPETRORISESBREAKINGNEWS:ARIGHT-WINGCOALITIONFORMS,THELEFTSPLITSFebruary5,2018|2?FormerMedellínmayorSergioFajardohasbeenleadingthepolls,including2ndroundscenarios?HistermsasgovernorofAntioquiahadhighapprovalratings,althoughheincreaseddebtlevelsabovelimits?Fajardohasastrongopinionvote?Hiseconomicpoliciesarenotyetconcrete,butherecentlypledgedtostickwithprudentmacroeconomicpoliciesLEADINGINPOLLS,FAJARDO’sCOALITIONRELEASEDITSPLATFORM?GustavoPetro,whorattleslocalmarkets,hasbeenonanupwardtrend,judgingbymostrecentpolls?Peaceprocessnegotiator,centristHumbertoDelaCalle,hasjoinedforceswithleft-of-centreClaraLópez?LópezexitedGustavoPetro’scampaign?